Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.026950 1.162144 1.309471 1.482101 1.679049 1.896983 2.156760
2026-02-01 0.793131 0.971095 1.181699 1.450018 1.783806 2.186696 2.711884
2026-02-08 0.660308 0.853012 1.094285 1.419942 1.850171 2.402068 3.168490
2026-02-15 0.583106 0.786867 1.053990 1.432036 1.956915 2.665169 3.702212
2026-02-22 0.518379 0.726041 1.009195 1.426595 2.031527 2.884465 4.192500
2026-03-01 0.462713 0.669653 0.961785 1.408256 2.080525 3.066386 4.642489
2026-03-08 0.408138 0.608086 0.899185 1.358654 2.074594 3.162267 4.967781
2026-03-15 0.373504 0.571870 0.869161 1.352906 2.131523 3.354846 5.459806
2026-03-22 0.359323 0.564940 0.881924 1.413287 2.296198 3.730039 6.286432
2026-03-29 0.332675 0.535616 0.856503 1.409015 2.353836 3.934925 6.846458
2026-04-05 0.314135 0.517449 0.846867 1.428939 2.452421 4.215799 7.567081
2026-04-12 0.290372 0.488407 0.816528 1.410266 2.481410 4.377319 8.087514
2026-04-19 0.264610 0.455863 0.780985 1.385637 2.509296 4.561223 8.715794
2026-04-26 0.240059 0.423538 0.743527 1.355157 2.526092 4.732595 9.356508
2026-05-03 0.218941 0.395076 0.709784 1.327172 2.543095 4.904216 10.018230
2026-05-10 0.205692 0.379554 0.697767 1.338430 2.636446 5.234054 11.050514
2026-05-17 0.191702 0.361228 0.678597 1.333365 2.695946 5.501736 11.986329
2026-05-24 0.177699 0.341517 0.654811 1.316293 2.728261 5.715844 12.832519
2026-05-31 0.161825 0.316689 0.618712 1.270115 2.693545 5.782077 13.348691
2026-06-07 0.151870 0.302754 0.602968 1.264764 2.746194 6.045030 14.365126
2026-06-14 0.148911 0.302747 0.615434 1.320977 2.941621 6.652323 16.308745
2026-06-21 0.140409 0.290447 0.601205 1.317000 2.999250 6.947541 17.513277
2026-06-28 0.134594 0.283314 0.597238 1.335547 3.111397 7.385490 19.153337